ECONOMICS, POLITICS AND THE FARM: WHATEVER HAPPENED TO OLD MACDONALD?
Johnnie Beer
Writer’s comment: My
Agrarian Studies 2 research paper assignment was to write on some
aspect of agriculture that we had discussed in class. The material
covered a good 10,000 years, so my choices were very broad. I decided
to focus on agricultural economics since I was about to receive my
degree in Agricultural Economics—but I didn’t choose the topic because
I thought it would be a “gimme.” On the contrary, Ag Econ at the
undergraduate level is a very quantitative study. I had never been
asked to use my expository skills to make a persuasive economic
argument. This was the first time I was able to use an authoritative
voice. The use of Old MacDonald as symbol was simply an attempt to add
a little color to “the dismal science.”
—Johnnie Beer
Instructor’s comment: The course “Perspectives in
Agriculture” is comprised of necessarily brief overviews of
agriculture’s many facets—historic, economic, geological, geographic,
and ecological. For their term paper, students are asked to develop and
describe their own perspectives on a particular facet of interest to
them.
In this short paper, Johnnie Beer effectively juxtaposes
several conflicting elements encompassed in our federal farm support
program. Justifiable concerns for long-term food adequacy jar with
apparent food surpluses; agricultural subsidies and import restraints
clash with advocacy for free trade; persistent strains of agricultural
fundamentalism (Old MacDonald’s Farm!) conflict with current
agribusiness and demographic realities. In a few poignant paragraphs,
Johnnie gives one a clear perspective on this muddled agricultural
policy. One is left with the distinct impression that much is to be
resolved if we are to sustain the productive, ecological, and cultural
attributes of our nation’s agriculture. Johnnie Beer’s venture into law
and, perhaps in time, into politics, could be a step toward resolution.
—Roger J. Romani, Pomology Department
The words to the famous
old children’s song “Old MacDonald Had a Farm” are due for a revision.
The new lines should read “Old MacDonald had a farm . . . with a lawyer
here, and an accountant there, and everywhere a new federal program and
regulation.” Not quite as poetic, but definitely more appropriate. The
current state of agribusiness consists of an incredibly complex mix of
subsidies, price supports, and bureaucratic regulations that could
confound the most knowledgeable business minds. Underlying this tangled
web of rules and regulations are political battles that pit normally
allied groups against each other, and bring normally adversarial groups
into allegiance. One bizarre outcome of federal farm policy is that
consumers and tax-payers (usually one and the same) are set at
cross-purposes. In this paper, I will highlight some of the unusual
policies that exist today and will try to present some rational
alternatives to alleviate the nightmare that is U.S. agribusiness.
E...I...E...I...Ohhhhhhh.....
The United States Government and agriculture have had a
working relationship for most of the twentieth century. In 1916,
Congress established the Federal Land Bank to provide farmers with
easier access to credit. Then, during the Great Depression, many New
Deal programs came to the aid of the farmer (Rapp, 1988). A system of
price supports and production quotas was established to ensure price
stability. For the first time, farmers were being told not to grow as
much as they could. After World War II, the government found that
prices were a very difficult thing to stabilize, so it focused its
attention on income supports. That is, it attempted to guarantee a
farmer a certain amount of income. This was accomplished through
Congress allocating direct payments to farmers to make up the
difference between the prevailing market price and some established
“target price.” At first, payments to farmers were a small percentage
of their income, averaging 10% in the early 1960s. However, by the late
sixties and early seventies the percentage had climbed to 20%, and in
1987 direct payments totaled 30% of net farm income (Rapp, 1988).
Now, most economists will tell you that government
control of prices simply does not work. Artificially high prices
provide an incentive for an efficient producer to undercut the price to
grab a larger share of the market. This wasn’t the only problem.
Besides trying to control the power of the free market, the government
faced another uncontrollable force: the weather. Agriculture, being
entirely dependent on the whims of Mother Nature, and therefore an
industry where accurate forecasts of production are nearly impossible,
is not suited to long-range price-fixing schemes. Thus, the 1950s saw
the abandonment of price-supports and the introduction of income
supports.
Early in the twentieth century, our leaders believed that
the vitality of our agri-cultural base was vital to our national
interest, and as the most abundant country in the world there was no
reason to expect that we would lose that vitality. But the Great
Depression changed that perception. Since the depression, it has been
the continuing policy of the government, Republican and Democratic
administrations alike, to support the financial security of the farmer.
However, society’s composition, and thus its outlook, has changed
dramatically. Whereas in 1920 approximately 50% of U.S. citizens lived
in rural areas, by 1970 that figure was down to 25% and falling
(Rawlins, 1980). Now, tens of millions of Americans have never seen a
farm. Many Americans give no thought to the plight of the farmer as
long as the shelves at Safeway are fully stocked. And, because of the
ever-growing urban population and the ever-growing budget deficit, the
tendency has been for the populace to look askance at ever-growing aid
to farmers. In the last decade this situation has led to momentous
budget battles that have created some very strange coalitions.
Generally, the two major parties split in this manner on
economic issues: Democrats favor intervention in the markets to protect
“the little guy” from being trampled on by Big Business; Republicans
favor a free, unfettered marketplace. So theoretically, Democrats
should line up behind the policy of aid to farmers, while the G.O.P.
supports the abolition of federal supports, letting the market decide
who succeeds and who fails. In fact, the parties split internally along
rural state/urban state lines. Republican Congresspersons in the
heartland strive for increased support, claiming the preservation of
the “American way of life.” Big-city Democrats try to pull money away
from farmers in order to distribute it to the urban poor. Only in the
farm arena could we see Congressmen like Republican Senator Robert Dole
of Kansas allied with Representative Richard Gephardt of Missouri, as
witnessed with passage of the 1985 Farm Bill. On the opposing side,
trying to decrease farm support payments, were liberal Senator Edward
Kennedy and President Ronald Reagan! The 1985 Farm Bill brought to the
extreme the absurdity of federal farm policy. Every farm state’s
Congressperson was able to get something: sugar-cane and sugar-beet
growers got protection for their domestic markets, corn-belt states got
guaranteed income regardless of market forces, and soybean farmers were
given a flat $30 an acre, etc. (Rapp, 1988). These handouts came in
markets that were already heavily subsidized. It is very difficult
politically to achieve agricultural reforms in the U.S. Congress (as it
is to achieve any kind of reforms), pork-barrel interests being
pervasive. According to Senator Jesse Helms: “We must protect the
American family farmer.” It is to this aspect of farm policy that we
now turn our attention.
American agriculture was built on the backs of individual
farmers working small homesteads. As the Industrial Revolution improved
technology, farmers were able to work larger acreages. Eventually, the
more successful farmers were able to increase their holdings until they
became large-scale enterprises. These vast agribusinesses then became
attractive to large conglomerations, so that by the sixties we had
International Telephone and Telegraph in the meat-packing industry,
Boeing Company in the potato business, and Dow Chemical Company
producing lettuce (Robbins, 1974). These firms with their “deep
pockets” and their ability to “monopolistically price” were able to
squeeze out many small farmers. By 1975, small family farms constituted
only 62% of U.S. farms and generated only 10% of the total revenues,
compared to 92% and 67% respectively in 1960 (Rawlins, 1980).
Government policies seem to favor this trend. In recent years,
government supports have benefited 50% of the farmers who produce 90%
of the product. This seems to contradict Senator Helms’ statement of
government intentions. Does it? And even if the small farm is being
driven out, is that bad?
According to Agricultural Economics Professor Luther
Tweeten, it cannot be that: (a) small farms provide a better quality of
life, and (b) government policies have hastened their demise. In his
amalgamation of various reports, Professor Tweeten could find no proof
for any of the usual justifications for the continuing existence of
small family farms (1983). That is not to say that small farmers
shouldn’t be allowed to take up a shovel and a plow, only that
agribusiness cannot be efficiently based on their predominance. Tweeten
found that government supports are larger for dollar output on small
farms than for large. It is simply a matter of economies of scale that
allow large farms to outproduce small ones on a per-unit basis. This is
not universally true, of course; many small farmers have found ways to
be very productive. It is merely my contention that the federal
government should have no interest in the structure of the industry.
Now we turn to an example of the travesty that is U.S.
agricultural policy. Letus look at the rules governing production of an
average wheat farmer. The farmer borrows money from the Farm Credit
System, a government institution that needed a $58 billion bailout in
1987, to plant his wheat. The interest rate is pegged to product price
fluctuations. However, the 1985 Farm Bill included a proviso that
insured a minimum 20% annual reduction in the loan rate through 1990.
Unfortunately, receiving such cheap capital, his total cost of inputs
fell, leaving his market price well below the established target price.
So another measure in the Farm Bill called for the annual reduction of
target prices, totaling 10% by 1990. So now he has an idea of how much
money he will receive. How much to plant? A condition of government
support is that he only plant 70-80% of his base acreage, the exact
figure established by the Secretary of Agriculture. Of course, if he
doesn’t want to actually plant that much, he can opt for the “50-92”
plan, where he plants 50% of his acreage and receives 92% of his
support benefits. Or better still, by a 1987 amendment, he can plant
nothing (!) and still receive the same 92% of his income-support
benefits (Rapp, 1988). Now this does not mean that he can live
luxuriously, sucking off the public teat. He will be receiving less
money than he could if he exposed himself to the free market. But it is
an incredible situation. Our economy is based on the idea that it is
individual entrepeneurship and technical progress that provides for
increases in wealth and the standard of living. To chain down the
farmer with restrictive regulations while at the same time criticizing
the Japanese government for “unfairly” subsidizing their industries is
blatant hypocrisy.
To tie this all together, we now look at the effect on
the consumer. The most galling aspect is that with one hand we are
paying artificially high prices for products like sugar, nuts, and
dairy products because of protectionist import quotas and
government-mandated target prices. With the other hand we are reaching
into our pocket to pay taxes so that government can provide farmers
with enough income so that they don’t have to plant anything, so that
we can pay artificially high prices . . . and so it goes. We throw up
barriers so that sugar prices can remain high, which helps the corn
producers because soda manufacturers will substitute corn sweeteners
into their products, which hurts the sugar producers. People will argue
that we pay the lowest percentage of our income toward food of any
country in the world, approximately 16%. This is, however, an average
figure—poor people in America pay up to 50% of their income on food
(Robbins, 1974). This is still better than in most Third World nations,
but that is no excuse for not doing better when we have the ability to
do so. Another argument could be that we are paying a premium on food
products to support farming, and thus our national security. Well, who
is getting this premium? Not Old MacDonald. He was foreclosed on in
1986.
The solution to this complex problem is not an easy one,
and I do not profess to have the magic solution. But it seems to me
that the free-market system has worked very well for this country. Some
may disagree, and there are certainly many negative externalities
associated with unfettered capitalism. However, in this industry it is
time to cut the apron strings. Of course, once programs are eliminated
there could be a great deal of displacement. The money that is saved on
farm programs could be used to re-train displaced farmers. And with the
free-market at work, those farmers who are innovative and efficient
will prosper, while those who are marginal will not continue to be a
drain on the economy. We cannot continually advocate free trade around
the world (the GATT talks) while protecting our farm industry at home.
I believe that when the government gets out of the food-growing
business, farming efficiency will increase, consumers will benefit, and
the economy will be better for it. And after the shakeout, Old
MacDonald’s son or daughter will have a chance for greater prosperity.
References
Rapp, David. How the U.S. Got Into Agriculture and Why it Can’t Get Out. Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly, 1988.
Rawlins, N. Omri. Introduction to Agribusiness. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall, 1980
Robbins, William. The American Food Scandal. New York: William Morrow, 1974.
Tweeten, Luther. “The Economics of Small Farms,” Science 219 (4 March 1983): 1037-41.